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Analysis
In the Media

Strategic analyses on institutional frameworks, the economy, and development published in specialized media.

The Quantified Impact of AFPs and Securitizations in Paraguay

The impact on public debt reached USD 18.33 billion (40.7% of GDP, USD 45 billion), with external debt amounting to USD 12.47 billion (27.7% of GDP). A pension fund system could mobilize domestic savings, reducing reliance on external borrowing. Paraguay’s formal workforce comprises 1.18 million workers, with an average monthly wage of USD 413. A 10% contribution (USD 41.3 per worker) would generate USD 584.9 million annually (1.18 million × USD 41.3 × 12).

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Turning Domestic Savings into Economic Growth

How AFPs Work: AFPs are private financial institutions that manage pension funds under an individual capitalization scheme. Unlike the pay-as-you-go system of the Social Security Institute (IPS), where contributions from active workers finance current pensions, AFPs operate as follows: Each worker contributes a percentage of their salary (typically 10–15%, as in Chile; 10% or 13% in Peru) to an individual account.

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Formalizing Paraguay: Pension Reform as the Cornerstone of Change

Paraguay faces a structural challenge that limits its economic and social development: high levels of informal employment. According to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INE), nearly 70% of Paraguayan workers are employed in the informal economy, without access to social security, formal contracts, or employee benefits. This situation not only perpetuates precariousness but also undermines the sustainability of the pension system, a key pillar for ensuring citizens’ economic stability in old age.

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Opening Paraguay's electricity sector to the private sector, with a gas pipeline as a catalyst

Paraguay, with a 100% renewable energy mix based on hydroelectric power, is seeking to advance toward an energy transition that diversifies its power generation with natural gas and non-conventional renewable sources. The construction of a natural gas pipeline from Argentina, combined with the opening of the electricity market to the private sector, represents a strategic opportunity to modernize the grid, improve electricity distribution, and establish itself as a competitive and sustainable regional energy hub.

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Strategies for Paraguay's Energy Security and Sustainability by 2030: Diversification, Infrastructure, and the Renewable Energy Transition

Paraguay, a country with an energy mix historically dominated by hydropower, faces a critical challenge by 2030: meeting rapidly growing energy demand while ensuring sustainability, energy security, and economic development. With almost total reliance on the Itaipú, Yacyretá, and Acaray dams, which generate 100% of the country’s electricity, Paraguay boasts a unique renewable energy mix.

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