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Analysis
In the Media

Strategic analyses on institutional frameworks, the economy, and development published in specialized media.

A zero deficit: a achievable goal with fiscal adjustments and steady growth

In this installment of the 12-part series titled “The Origins of Paraguay’s Fiscal Imbalance: A Technical and Comparative Perspective,” we examine the dream of a zero fiscal deficit through a data-driven technical analysis, exploring how a zero fiscal deficit is not a neoliberal utopia: it is the sine qua non for Paraguay to stop living on borrowed money and set in motion a virtuous cycle of economic freedom.

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Political reforms are key to stabilizing public finances

Paraguay’s fiscal imbalance, which reached 3.8% of GDP in 2024 according to the Ministry of Finance, reflects structurally unsustainable public spending, which grew by 7% annually between 2020 and 2024, compared with average economic growth of 3.5%. This imbalance, exacerbated by inefficiencies in the public sector and patronage pressures, threatens macroeconomic stability and increases public debt, which reached roughly 41% of GDP.

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